Beggs: Wholesale Market Is ‘Busting Loose’
The new year already has generated a new record for Black Book’s editors as last week they established a new mark for the most daily adjustments.
Black Book’s staff made a daily average of 3,280 adjustments last week, almost 400 more per day than the previous high set during the week ending Aug. 12.
Thanks to the bevy of activity, managing editor Ricky Beggs acknowledged the conversation within Black Book’s office has changed significantly.
“The water cooler talk that has been often focused on college football for the past four to five months is now over until August or September, and once again, a team from the SEC has been crowned the champion,” Beggs began during his latest video blog, “Beggs on the Used Car Market," referring to college football’s Southeastern Conference.
“The champion of the used-car market this week was the fact that 53-percent of the changes the editors made were increases,” he continued. “We haven’t had this level of positive changes since the week ending last May 20.”
While the amount of daily adjustments set a new precedent, Black Book discovered that last week’s overall movement settled at a decline of slightly less than $5.
For comparison, Beggs mentioned that when Black Book previously established its daily adjustments record last August, the overall movement was a decline of $119.
Beggs explained that last week’s overall dip “was definitely supported by the various dealer and auctioneer comments we heard such as ‘expecting an upturn’ and a more enthusiastic ‘on the verge of busting loose within the next two to three weeks.’”
“With slightly more ‘average’ condition values adjusted than ‘clean,’ and more of them being increases, this is a reflection of the interest and demand due to the tax season type cars and trucks,” Beggs continued.
Breaking it down by segment, Beggs noted: "For the first time in at least the past 12 weeks we not only have one car segment, but two that increased in price week over week."
Editors found that entry midsize cars ticked up by $1, while the entry level cars increased by $12.
Black Book noticed that three other car segments declined by $22 or less for the week: full-size cars (down $22), compact cars (down $15) and upper midsize cars (down $11).
Turning over to truck segments, Black Book determined that the overall change settled at a decline of $15, a level Beggs said was similar to the past three weeks.
Editors mentioned that compact pickups have increased five of the past six weeks and were also joined a week ago by full-size SUVs, which increased by $9.
Showing the overall stability of the trucks, Black Book indicated that there were six of the 14 segment types that declined by just $7 or less.
Beggs closed his commentary by elaborating how why the wholesale market appears to be heating up.
“As we gathered and analyzed all the market data this week, another sign of the increasingly active market was an increased level of data on quite a few more late model vehicles, those from model years 2010 through 2012,” Beggs shared.
“From this analysis we included market driven data values on an additional 68 vehicle listings. These were a mixture of highline cars, full-size trucks, entry midsize cars as well as compact and midsize crossovers,” he continued.
“The lanes are having better crowds since the first day of the new year,” Beggs went on to say. “Remember several dealers said ‘the market is on the verge of busting loose.’ We’ll be there when it does. Have a great week.”
Beggs’ videos can be seen here.